Ed Felton and Friends have posted their predictions for 2009. The first one is unchanged from last year. Among the 36 others there are many relating to open source software and web 2.0:
(6) Questions over the enforceability of free / open source software licenses will move closer to resolution.
(28) Facebook will be sold for $4 billion and Mark Zuckerberg will step down as CEO.
(29) Web 2.0 startups will not be hammered by the economic downtown. In fact, web 2.0 innovation may prove to be countercyclical. Costs are controllable: today’s workstyles don’t require lavish office space, marketing can be viral, and pay-as-you-go computing services eliminate the need for big upfront investments in infrastructure. Laid off big-company workers and refugees from the financial world will keep skilled wages low. The surge in innovation will be real, but its effects will mostly be felt in future years.
(34) Internet Explorer’s usage share will fall below 50 percent for the first time in a decade, spurred by continued growth of Firefox and Safari and deals with OEMs to pre-load Google Chrome.